Salem, Oregon Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 51°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: SSW 10 mph
  • Humidity: 80%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 45°
  • Pressure: 29.90 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Rain
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Rain
  • Friday
  • Rain
  • High: 52 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Rain
  • Saturday
  • Rain
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Rain
  • Sunday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Monday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Salem, Oregon

Updated: 7:00 AM PST on December 18, 2014

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with rain. Low of 43F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Friday

    Overcast with rain, then rain showers in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 100%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with rain. Low of 41F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with rain. High of 57F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 1.0 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 61F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast. Fog early. High of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 34F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 48F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Special Weather Statement  Statement as of 2:35 PM PST on December 17, 2014


... Potential for flooding Saturday night through Monday for
northwest Oregon and southwest Washington rivers...

A storm system developing over the Pacific is expected to bring
heavy rain to the Pacific northwest Saturday evening through
Sunday. As of now... it looks like the heaviest rain will be in
the north Oregon Coast Range and the north Oregon and South
Washington Cascades... but this forecast is uncertain.
Meteorologists will be keeping a close eye on the development of
this storm. This is a classic atmospheric river event that could
produce some areas of very heavy rain.

Rainfall amounts are currently projected as 5 to 8 inches for the
coast... Coast Range and Cascades... with 2 to 5 inches for valley
locations. Snow levels will be high... well above pass level... for
most of this event. If we get these amounts of rain or more...
there will likely be flooding on area rivers and creeks Saturday
night through Monday.

Stay up to date with the latest NWS forecasts at
weather.Gov/Portland or Mobile.Weather.Gov.




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Center & Cordon NE, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 52.6 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSE at 4.9 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: North Lancaster, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 55.2 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: South at 2.9 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Grant, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:51 PM PST

Temperature: 52.9 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Morningside, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:53 PM PST

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Central Area, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:51 PM PST

Temperature: 51.6 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cherry & Salem Parkway, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 53.2 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Jan Ree, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: SE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Battlecreek Watershed, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:43 PM PST

Temperature: 48.1 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Central Howell, Silverton, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 52.5 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SW at 7.3 mph Pressure: 29.55 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Crossler/Sunny Slope, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: South at 8.3 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: South Salem/Sunnyslope, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:52 PM PST

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: SSE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Browns Island, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:53 PM PST

Temperature: 53.1 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: SW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: South Salem/W7MLH, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 48.8 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Wildwood, Keizer, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 52.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Country Glen, Keizer, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: SSE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest BROOKS OR US UPR, Salem, OR

Updated: 10:40 AM PST

Temperature: 51 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Popcorn Hill, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:45 PM PST

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: North Keizer, Keizer, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 51.7 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 'Aumsville Ponds' Park, Aumsville, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 51.4 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sublimity, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 59.4 °F Dew Point: 17 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: WSW at 12.8 mph Pressure: 17.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Summit Hill, Turner, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 45.1 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: James St, Silverton, OR

Updated: 12:45 PM PST

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: North at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: North of Brooks, Salem, OR

Updated: 12:43 PM PST

Temperature: 54.2 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SW at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: West Stayton, Aumsville, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 54.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.41 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Eola Hills, Amity, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 51.6 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: SSE at 1.3 mph Pressure: 29.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: NA7KR, Independence, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 51.4 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: SSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: N 2nd Ave - downtown, Stayton, OR

Updated: 12:51 PM PST

Temperature: 56.5 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Marion, Turner, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 49.7 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: Evans Valley, Silverton, OR

Updated: 12:44 PM PST

Temperature: 57.2 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: A Plus Computer Works, Mt. Angel, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 52.7 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: WSW at 3.5 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Monmouth, Oregon, Monmouth, OR

Updated: 12:54 PM PST

Temperature: 52.2 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: South at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sekavec Farm, Scio, OR

Updated: 12:40 PM PST

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: SSE at 7.8 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Buena Vista, Independence, OR

Updated: 12:55 PM PST

Temperature: 49.7 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: South at 3.4 mph Pressure: 29.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Portland or 
1016 am PST Thursday Dec 18 2014 


Synopsis...rain will increase tonight as a more organized frontal 
system pushes onshore. A colder upper trough moves across the area 
Friday...which will lower snow levels below the Cascade passes. Mild 
and very wet weather is expected this weekend. There is potential for 
an atmospheric river and associated heavy rain to develop over the 
area. The exact location of the jet stream and associated moisture 
plume are still in doubt. There is the potential for some flooding 
late this weekend into early next week. 


&& 


Update...some light rain continues to spread across southwest 
Washington and northwest Oregon this morning ahead of an approaching 
frontal system. Models indicate that this rain will continue through 
the day with increasing coverage...particularly along the coast and 
across the northern portions of the forecast area. Therefore 
increased probability of precipitation for these locations with the morning update. Expect 
these rainfall accumulations to remain fairly light for most 
locations during the day...though heavier rain will move onshore with 
the cold front this evening. Otherwise...few changes to the forecast. 
12z models remain consistent with significant rainfall for the 
weekend with a developing atmospheric river event. Cullen 


&& 


Previous disc... /issued 414 am PST Thursday Dec 18 2014/ 


Short term...Thursday through Saturday...water vapor imagery as of 
1030z shows a deep upper low in the Gulf of Alaska with a frontal 
system taking shape near 135w. The 06z nam12 run shows a weak surface 
low off the S Oregon coast at 09z. This feature is very difficult to 
pick out in the water vapor looper. The NAM shows this low filling 
overnight as it drifts to the NE. National Weather Service Portland dual-pol Doppler radar 
showing decreasing radar returns...with the strongest echoes in the 
Willapa Hills and S Washington Cascades. 


NAM...GFS and European model (ecmwf) all indicate a weak 500 mb ridge to move across 
the area today. However...model cross-sections and time-height 
forecasts maintain moist low-levels through the day. Thus...still 
expect light quantitative precipitation forecast across the forecast area today...ahead of the next 
frontal system. Models appear to be in reasonable agreement with this 
front...with landfall sometime around 00z Friday or shortly thereafter. 
One concern was the potential for high wind along the coastal 
headlands. Previous shift had issued a high wind watch for late this 
afternoon through 08z Friday. Upon further review...not seeing enough in 
the 850 mb to 950 mb wind fields to upgrade to a warning. The 00z 
WRF-GFS valid 00z Friday has a coastal jet signature over the Oregon 
coastal waters...with forecast 10m wind gusts of 55 knots. However...by 
03z Friday the model has just a small sliver of 55 knots gusts just off the 
central coast. Would not be surprised to see isolated 55 to 60 miles per hour 
gusts on exposed Headland areas late this afternoon through the 
middle-evening hours...but do not think these will be widespread and 
frequent enough to warrant a warning. 


The system will bring a 6-9 hour shot of rain to the area...but snow 
levels are expected to slowly rise ahead of the front. The colder 
upper trough slides across the region Friday...with 1000-500 mb 
thickness values dropping into the low to middle 530s by 18z Friday. This 
puts snow levels well below the Cascade passes...but by this time the 
bulk of the precipitation has already occurred. Although not in the 
forecast grids as of yet...need to consider the possibility of 
thunderstorms for Friday. GFS sounding for kast valid 22z Friday shows Li 
values near 0 but a sweat index of 272. The 1000-750 mb lapse rates 
are around 7.5c/km. 


Models still advertising a change to a much wetter pattern starting 
Sat. NAM and GFS continue to show an atmospheric river set up 
directed at SW Washington and northwest Oregon Sat. The Gem may be a bit 
slower...but still has substantial quantitative precipitation forecast directed at the forecast area 
by Sat night. The 00z wrfgfs shows very heavy quantitative precipitation forecast with up to 8-12 
inches of rain in the higher terrain and 2-4 inches in the Willamette 
Valley Sat through Monday. Will need to monitor this very closely 
over the next few days as similar situations have produced flooding 
on area mainstem rivers. Weishaar 


Long term...Saturday night through Wednesday...models maintain the 
mild and moist atmospheric river pattern through at least sun. The 
European model (ecmwf) and Gem gradually shift the focus of the heaviest precipitation to the 
north Sun afternoon but the GFS does not. Expect plenty of rainfall to 
continue through Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday...some weak ridging 
moves over the region but showers likely continue in the moist 
onshore flow. The European model (ecmwf) then indicates another major pattern change 
around the middle of next week with a much colder air mass settling 
over the Pacific northwest. However...moisture diminishes due to the drier north-NE 
flow. Thus...after whatever snow the Cascades get late this week...it 
will be lost over the weekend. The GFS also has a change to colder 
northwest-north flow aloft but it maintains an open trough instead of the closed 
upper low European model (ecmwf) solution. While still some significant uncertainty 
exists with respect to the timing of the cold air and just how cold 
the air will be...it does appear that a change to much cooler 
conditions will move into the region. Snow levels should be quite low 
over the Holiday...but dropped probability of precipitation substantially next Thursday and Thursday 
night. Weishaar 


&& 


Hydrology...while river forecasts of current model precipitation 
indicate flooding is possible on a river or two in the forecast area 
Sunday into Monday...a look at the most correlated analogs to the 96 
hour GFS model forecast shed light on flooding chances across our 
forecast area late in the weekend and early next week. The three 
most correlated analog weather patterns to the current 96 hour GFS 
model forecast are late January 2003...early January 1983 and late 
November 1999. All three of these events produced isolated to 
scattered river flooding within northwest Oregon and/or southwest 
Washington. While there are certainly notable differences between 
the current pattern and each of these historical analogs...some 
critical weather parameters appear even more favorable for producing 
heavier rains than these past events. This certainly helps build 
confidence there will be hydrological impacts within our forecast 
area of responsibility so long as the pattern holds. 
Nonetheless...there is still considerable uncertainty in where the 
heaviest rain will set up...and exactly which rivers will flood and 
when. Please continue to monitor the forecast if you live near any 
rivers fed by the the Cascades or Coast Range...and please see 
water.Weather.Gov/ahps2/index.Php?Wfo=pqr for the latest river 
forecasts. /Neuman 


&& 


Aviation...mix of VFR MVFR will continue through the day today as 
rain moves in across the area...bringing down ceilings and visible. Front 
moves onshore around 03z...reaching inland around 05z. This will 
bring periods of MVFR/IFR ceilings and visible with light to moderate 
rain. Ceilings and visible to stay low MVFR/IFR through early Friday as 
ceilings will likely lower behind the cold front. 


Kpdx and approaches...MVFR ceilings likely to persist through this 
morning as rain moves through the area. There may be a period 
where ceilings lift to VFR after this initial band...but ceilings should 
drop back to MVFR with occasional IFR around 05z as the front 
brings rain through the area. Ceilings and visible should remain MVFR/IFR 
overnight tonight. -McCoy 


&& 


Marine...combined seas to stay around 10 to 12 feet...possibly 
building to near 15 feet around 1 PM to 8 PM as winds out of the South 
Reach gale force with gusts of 40 to 45 kts likely. Seas will start 
to subside to 10 to 12 feet late this evening. A 20-22 feet swell train 
with impressively long periods moves in early Friday morning. Models 
tend to under-do the wave heights in this type of scenario...so wave 
heights may well be underdone. As of now...expect seas on Friday 
morning nearly double in height by Friday afternoon. Because of 
this...a high surf advisory will likely be issued with our afternoon 
package today. The good news is that the largest swell will likely 
arrive during low tide and during the night time hours when most 
mariners and beach goers are not in harms way. 


On Saturday morning another front moves through the waters. 
Confidence is increasing for another round of southerly gales...with 
possibly some low end storm force gusts. This on top of the 20 feet 
swell Saturday could easily bring seas up into the middle 20s late 
Saturday morning into the afternoon. Behind this front...small 
craft winds out of the west-southwest will continue through the 
day on Sunday. 


High pressure builds in early next week bringing relatively benign 
weather through midweek. -McCoy 


&& 


Pqr watches/warnings/advisories... 
or...none. 


Washington...none. 


Pz...Small Craft Advisory for winds until 1 PM PST this afternoon for 
coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater Washington to Florence or out 
60 nm. 


Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to midnight PST tonight 
for coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater Washington to Florence or out 
60 nm. 


Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 1 PM PST this 
afternoon for coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater Washington to 
Florence or out 60 nm. 


Small Craft Advisory for rough Columbia River bar until 6 am 
PST Friday. 


&& 


$$ 


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This discussion is for northwest Oregon and southwest Washington 
from the Cascade crest to 60 nautical miles offshore. The area is 
commonly referred to as the forecast area. 






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